- Describe the set of assumptions underlying the mathematical regression model in terms of the error term.
- Explain why the above assumptions are necessary.
- Explain what is meant by the residual standard error, how it is calculated, and why it is a useful measure.
- Explain, using a graph, what it means if in the 2-variable regression model the estimator of B2 is biased.
- Explain, using a graph, what it means if in the 2-variable regression model the estimator of B2 is unbiased but inefficient.
- Explain what is meant by the coefficient of determination and how it is related to the F-statistic.
- The following data relates to the demand for a homogeneous product sold by seven firms:
Sales (units) 112 120 120 192 104 72 176
Price ($) 26 24 22 20 23 25 21
- Estimate the linear relationship between price and sales.
- Does price significantly affect sales?
- Forecast sales next month, with 95% confidence limits, for a firm charging a price of $24; state any assumptions that you need to make.
- a) Explain what is meant by an ANOVA table and its purpose.
- b) Using the data in the previous question, construct an ANOVA table and interpret it.
- c) Explain in general terms how the addition of another explanatory variable would affect the ANOVA table.
- The following regression results have been obtained for aggregate final energy demand in 7 OECD countries (US, UK, Canada, Germany, France, Italy and Japan) for the period 1960-82, using annual data:
lnQ = 1.594 + 0.9972lnY – 0.3315lnP
t 17.17 52.09 13.61
R2 = 0.994
F = 1688
Where
Q = measure of energy consumption in BTU
Y = aggregate real GDP in $
P = real energy price in $
- Comment on the goodness of fit of the model and the overall significance of the explanatory variables.
- Explain whether the signs of the coefficients of the variables are what you would expect.
- Interpret the coefficients of the variables.
- Comment on the significance of the variables.
- Is demand elastic or inelastic? Is the result what you would expect?
- 5. Explain why multiple regression analysis is superior to simple regression analysis, giving two examples.